Lasting First Impressions
Of 2007-08 Hockey Ratings
By Glenn Guzzo
At first
glance, we see some trends in the 2007-08 hockey ratings. More forwards who are
tough defensively (Defense-5) and physically (high Intimidation ratings). More
teams who are both a threat to score shorthanded and a threat to be scored upon
(very few Defense-4 players shorthanded).
ANAHEIM.
The ’74 Broad Street
Bullies have nothing on these Ducks. Seven regularly carded players have
intimidation ratings of 10 or higher (’74 Philadelphia
has two), led by ugliest duckling George Parros (an
I-13 and AA penalty after 183 penalty minutes and one goal in 69 games). I-4 is
as low as it gets for the Anaheim
regulars … Redemption: Six Ducks have shorthanded breakaway chances.
ATLANTA.
The Thrashers are punchless, both offensively and
physically. Only three of 27 skaters are Offense-4 or Breakaway/Penetration-4.
Of the 16 regulars, only one (fourth-liner Eric Boulton)
is rated A for penalties and only two more are rated B.
BOSTON.
LD Zdeno Chara is one of
the most valuable players in the set. He can do everything offensively
(Offense-4, Bwy/Pen-4, Passing L, 17 goals) and defensively (D-5, Int-14 with
only Penalty-C and penalty-kill skating of 14-1).
BUFFALO.
Even after the loss of high-scoring leaders Daniel Briere
and Chris Drury, the Sabres are an offense-first
finesse team. Seven skaters are Offense-4, while only five are either Defense-4
or Defense-3. Only two forwards are better than Defense-2. However, five
players have penalty-kill skating ratings of 14.
CALGARY.
50-goal man Jarome Iginla
is one of five skaters rated Defense-4 or better. Blue-line pair Robyn Regehr and Cory Sarich are Defense-5 and Defense-4, respectively. High-scoring
defenseman Dion Phaneuf is
Defense-4.
CAROLINA. A rarity: A team with three forwards (Matt
Cullen, Jeff Hamilton, Eric Staal) who have
double-asterisks for playing the point on the power-play – despite also having
a pair of defensemen who combined for 10 power-play goals.
CHICAGO.
The Blackhawks finally are respectable again.
Although only Patrick Sharp scored more than 24 goals, eight Blackhawk forwards
are Offense-4. 36-goal man Sharp also is Defense-5 and has a penalty-killing
skate rating of 14(2). Both he and LW Rene Bourque have two chances for
shorthanded breakaways.
COLORADO.
If you don’t regulate games played, this team will gain more than most. Only
three of the Avalanche’s eight Offense-4 skaters played more than 70 games. The
same is true for five of the team’s 10 Defense-4 and Defense-3 skaters.
DALLAS.
C Mike Modano and RW Jere Lehtinen are still productive after all these years, but LW
Brenden Morrow’s ratings show he is the heart and
soul of this team: Offense-4, Defense-4, L-passing, Int-12, Skating-12(1).
He led the Stars with 32 goals.
DETROIT.
There have been seasons when only one winger in the whole NHL earned a
Defense-5. Detroit has two of them
– although Pavel Datsyuk
and Henrik Zetterberg play center as well. Add
perpetual Norris Trophy-winning defenseman Niklas Lidstrom to the Defense-5 group … Half of the Red Wings
regulars are L-level passers … No surprise for the Stanley Cup champs who also
had the best regular-season record, but this team will be tough to beat.
EDMONTON.
The penalty-killing is as good as it gets: Three 14-rated skaters and four
12-rated skaters.
FLORIDA.
Defenseman Jay Bouwmeester is the only Panther who plays
physically and with finesse. Alas, none of the Florida
blue-liners is better than a K-rated passer, Bouwmeester
included.
LOS ANGELES. Checking-line C Michal Handzus is the only
Defense-4 on the team and one of only three men in the NHL with three breakaway
chances while killing penalties.
MINNESOTA.
There’s 42-goal scorer Marian Gaborik and 5-rated
defenseman Nick Schultz, but the Wild’s most versatile player is third-line C Mikko Koivu: Offense-4,
Defense-4, L-passing, +2 faceoff, skating-14.
MONTREAL.
Counting extra player Josh Gorges, the Canadiens have
four defensemen rated Defense-4 or better. That includes 5-rated Mike Komisarek.
NEW
JERSEY. With 12 of 16 regulars D-rated for penalties, and with top
goalie Martin Brodeur playing 77 games with a .920
save percentage (only one rebound chance), the Devils won’t beat themselves
often.
NY
ISLANDERS. Though the Islanders have three Defense-4 skaters, they
also have 12 of 16 regulars rated Defense-1 or Defense-2. And only two skaters
(C Mike Comrie and RW Trent Hunter) are L-level
passers.
NY
RANGERS. Chris Drury gets the most out of his 58-point season: He’s
rated for C, RW and power-play point with Offense-4, Bwy/Pen-4, Defense-5,
L-level passing, +3 faceoff, skating-14 and a strong
power-play shooting card (12 of his 25 goals came with the man advantage).
OTTAWA.
Linemate wingers Daniel Alfredsson
and Dany Heatley have two
of the most lethal shooting cards in the set. They scored 81 goals while
missing 19 games between them. With top playmaking C Jason Spezza
also between them, they should scare any opponent.
PHILADELPHIA.
A high-octane team, with 10 carded skaters at Offense-4 and seven carded
skaters as Penalty-B or worse. Modern Bully Riley Cote (202 penalty minutes, 1
goal, 4 points) played only 70 games, but “understudy” Jesse Boulerice picked up 29 PIM in 5 games (with 0 points) to
equal Cote’s AA penalty grade as fourth-line wingers rated Offense-1 and
Defense-1.
PHOENIX.
It will be a challenge to reproduce the Coyotes’ 38 wins with one capable
scoring line (LW Radim Vrbata-C
Peter Mueller –RW Shane Doan) and one reliable defensive pair (Ed Jovanovski-Zbynek Michalek). It
may be even harder to replicate Winger Daniel Carcillo’s
324 PIM in 57 games.
PITTSBURGH.
With 17 power-play tallies among his 47 goals, Evgeny
Malkin has a slightly better power-play scoring card
than Washington’s 65-goal man
Alexander Ovechkin (who had 22 power-play goals) and
ever-so-slightly inferior to Detroit’s
Henrik Zetterberg.
SAN
JOSE. Maybe as surprising as first-line RW
Jonathan Cheechoo’s drop to 23 goals and 37 points is
second-line RW Mike Grier’s elevation from Defense-3 last year to Defense-5
this time.
ST.
LOUIS. Weak skating ratings and no 4-rated
defenders while shorthanded will make it tough for the Blues to kill penalties
often enough.
TAMPA BAY. Vinny Lecavalier’s
terrific scoring card (and Defense-4) is the bright spot on a team where the
second, third and fourth lines have NO L-rated passers, where 12 of the 16
regular skaters are Defense-1 or Defense-2 and where the goaltending is weak.
TORONTO.
Defensemen Tomas Kaberle, Pavel
Kubina and Bryan McCabe all become deadly
sharp-shooters on the power play. Top scorers Mats Sundin
and Nik Antropov also
improve on the power-play, and even fourth-line C Kyle Wellwood
becomes a threat with the man advantage.
VANCOUVER.
The extra carded skaters and computer-only skaters account for 510 penalty
minutes, including two AA-rated players, three As and two Bs. That leaves only
one A and two Bs among the 16 regulars.
WASHINGTON.
As great as Alexander Ovechkin’s shooting card is –
he’s lethal at all ranges – it’s undoubtedly less than it might have been because
six of his teammates are L-rated passers, including his two linemates
and defensemen Mike Green and Tom Poti.